Case-Pilote vs Samaritaine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
30.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Case-Pilote
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2014 |
CLU
3 - 1
CAS
54%
22%
25%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 1
USR
55%
22%
23%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
TAR
0 - 0
CAS
35%
23%
42%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 5
GOL
49%
24%
27%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 0
ESS
48%
23%
30%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Samaritaine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
SAM
5 - 1
USR
53%
22%
25%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2014 |
GOL
5 - 1
SAM
47%
24%
30%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
SAM
0 - 1
CLU
56%
22%
22%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
BEL
0 - 10
SAM
47%
23%
30%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
SAM
3 - 0
RCR
52%
22%
26%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |