Cascavel FC vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.7%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.4%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
6%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
75.6%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
15.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.8%
0-3
11.4%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
15.3%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
-4
8%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cascavel FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 1
NPR
48%
26%
27%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2014 |
NPR
1 - 0
CAS
45%
26%
29%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 1
ACP
62%
22%
17%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2014 |
APU
0 - 0
CAS
28%
24%
48%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
NPR
0 - 0
CAS
44%
26%
31%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
PAL
1 - 1
ATP
39%
27%
34%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ATP
1 - 0
GOI
48%
27%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
BAH
1 - 2
ATP
30%
28%
41%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
ATP
1 - 1
SAN
33%
26%
41%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
ATP
0 - 1
SPO
58%
23%
18%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | -1 |