Cascavel CR vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
63.8%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cascavel CR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2012 |
CCR
3 - 1
GRE
79%
14%
8%
|
43 | 14 | 29 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
CIN
2 - 2
CCR
29%
24%
48%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
CCR
1 - 2
PAR
23%
22%
55%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
CIA
5 - 0
CCR
66%
21%
14%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
CCR
3 - 3
JMA
31%
25%
43%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2012 |
FOZ
0 - 1
PAR
15%
19%
65%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
PAR
6 - 1
JTF
79%
15%
6%
|
65 | 25 | 40 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2012 |
PAR
1 - 2
PAL
20%
25%
56%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
PAR
1 - 1
CEA
27%
26%
47%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2012 |
CEA
2 - 2
PAR
66%
20%
14%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |