Cascavel CR vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.1%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.3%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.5%
15%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
77.9%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.7%
0-3
11.7%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
16.4%
0-4
7%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
9.2%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cascavel CR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
OPE
2 - 0
CCR
63%
22%
16%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
CCR
0 - 2
ACP
43%
24%
33%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
PAR
2 - 0
CCR
65%
21%
14%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
CCR
1 - 1
CIA
34%
24%
42%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
JMA
2 - 1
CCR
58%
23%
19%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 2
COT
46%
24%
31%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
COT
4 - 2
PAR
75%
16%
8%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
ACP
0 - 3
COT
12%
19%
69%
|
79 | 48 | 31 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
COT
3 - 2
OPE
83%
12%
5%
|
79 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
CIA
1 - 2
COT
13%
20%
67%
|
79 | 52 | 27 | 0 |