Casasimarro vs Rayo Fuentealbilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
46.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casasimarro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
BON
3 - 0
CAS
30%
22%
49%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
CAS
6 - 2
ALA
71%
16%
13%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
MUN
0 - 4
CAS
27%
22%
52%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
CAS
3 - 0
CMG
56%
21%
23%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
CHA
2 - 2
CAS
46%
22%
32%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Fuentealbilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
RFA
2 - 0
HER
57%
21%
23%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
LED
3 - 5
RFA
19%
20%
60%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
RFA
0 - 0
CAS
48%
22%
30%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
HIG
3 - 2
RFA
27%
22%
50%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
RFA
1 - 0
OSS
54%
21%
25%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |