El Casar vs Esquivias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
26.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-68%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Casar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
AAL
1 - 0
CAS
57%
21%
21%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 0
DIN
37%
25%
38%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
COB
1 - 0
CAS
66%
18%
16%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 1
GUA
40%
26%
35%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 0
HAL
11%
17%
72%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Esquivias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
ESQ
0 - 5
CAB
39%
21%
39%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
ESQ
0 - 0
SAG
33%
22%
45%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
AAL
0 - 1
ESQ
78%
14%
8%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
ESQ
0 - 1
DIN
54%
19%
26%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
COB
2 - 1
ESQ
64%
18%
18%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |