Casalromano vs Marmirolo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
58.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casalromano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
NUO
4 - 1
CAS
63%
20%
17%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 3
BAS
38%
24%
38%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
VIG
2 - 1
CAS
74%
16%
11%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 2
LAZ
21%
22%
57%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 1
CAS
17%
21%
63%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Marmirolo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
MAR
4 - 3
CAS
83%
12%
5%
|
33 | 12 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
POR
1 - 4
MAR
14%
19%
67%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 0
SPO
72%
17%
11%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 3
CAS
77%
15%
9%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
BAG
0 - 1
MAR
22%
22%
56%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |