Casale vs Valenzana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
14.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
CAS
3 - 4
LEC
39%
27%
34%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 1
CAS
45%
26%
29%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
CAS
0 - 1
FCC
70%
20%
11%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
FER
0 - 0
CAS
56%
23%
22%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
CAS
1 - 0
SAC
64%
21%
15%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Valenzana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
VAL
2 - 2
SAN
30%
28%
42%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
SAV
0 - 0
VAL
77%
16%
8%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
VAL
1 - 0
REN
30%
26%
44%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
ACS
1 - 1
VAL
53%
24%
24%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
VAL
0 - 1
ACR
38%
30%
33%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -2 |