Casale vs Sestri Levante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
19.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
CAS
1 - 1
ASD
53%
23%
24%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
CAS
2 - 3
CAS
58%
20%
22%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
LAV
2 - 1
CAS
35%
25%
40%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
BOR
0 - 0
CAS
41%
25%
35%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
CAS
0 - 1
GOZ
34%
26%
40%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Sestri Levante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
FOS
1 - 3
SES
39%
24%
37%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
SES
2 - 1
CAR
19%
24%
57%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | +2 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
PRO
2 - 0
SES
40%
24%
36%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
PDH
2 - 0
SES
70%
17%
13%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
SES
1 - 0
CHI
34%
25%
41%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |