Casale vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.7%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
66.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.7%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
FOS
1 - 4
CAS
40%
23%
37%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 0
SES
42%
27%
31%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 0
LAV
56%
25%
20%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
PDH
0 - 0
CAS
38%
24%
38%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
LIG
1 - 1
CAS
39%
25%
36%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
NOV
1 - 5
SAN
67%
20%
13%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
VFC
0 - 1
NOV
10%
19%
71%
|
50 | 27 | 23 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
NOV
2 - 0
SES
78%
15%
6%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
DER
1 - 1
NOV
14%
22%
64%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
ART
0 - 0
NOV
7%
16%
77%
|
50 | 25 | 25 | -1 |