Casale vs Lavagnese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
19.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+254%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
DER
0 - 3
CAS
25%
25%
50%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
CAS
1 - 1
SCC
78%
15%
7%
|
41 | 13 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
CUN
0 - 0
CAS
54%
24%
22%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
CAS
0 - 1
ACD
22%
25%
53%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
BIE
3 - 1
CAS
63%
22%
15%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lavagnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
LAV
0 - 0
ACD
17%
23%
60%
|
35 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
BIE
2 - 1
LAV
72%
18%
10%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
LAV
1 - 1
VAO
57%
22%
21%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
SET
1 - 2
LAV
29%
25%
47%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
LAV
0 - 0
SES
41%
24%
35%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |