Casale vs Borgaro Nobis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
20.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
UNI
3 - 2
CAS
80%
14%
6%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 1
PRO
37%
28%
35%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
ASD
2 - 2
CAS
60%
21%
19%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
PIN
2 - 1
CAS
32%
23%
45%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 0
SET
67%
21%
13%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Borgaro Nobis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
BOR
3 - 2
CAS
72%
16%
13%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |