Casa de España vs Moca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
33.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casa de España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
SCR
4 - 1
CDE
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
CDE
1 - 2
DON
43%
27%
31%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
CDE
4 - 2
RFC
53%
25%
23%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
DEP
2 - 0
CDE
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
MFC
1 - 1
CDE
49%
25%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Moca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
MOC
2 - 4
DEP
48%
26%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
MFC
0 - 1
MOC
43%
26%
32%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
MOC
1 - 1
BAR
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
RFC
10 - 0
MOC
29%
26%
44%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -2 |
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
MOC
3 - 1
SCR
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |