Carvalhosa vs Codessos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
30.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-84%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carvalhosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
PGA
1 - 0
CAR
63%
19%
18%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
CAR
4 - 1
LAM
37%
22%
41%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 5
LOU
9%
16%
75%
|
9 | 30 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
FRE
1 - 0
CAR
84%
11%
5%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 1
ANC
24%
22%
55%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Codessos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
COD
1 - 6
LOU
9%
16%
75%
|
10 | 29 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
FRE
4 - 1
COD
81%
13%
6%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
COD
0 - 1
RAI
14%
18%
68%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
COD
1 - 0
ANC
19%
20%
61%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
SVP
6 - 0
COD
71%
16%
13%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |