FC Cartagena vs San Fernando CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.7%
3-0
12%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.7%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
6.8%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
CPC
2 - 0
CAR
27%
29%
44%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 0
ROD
67%
21%
13%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 1
CAR
48%
27%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
SEV
0 - 1
CAR
24%
27%
49%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 1
GRA
80%
14%
6%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
San Fernando CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 0
SEV
48%
25%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
GRA
3 - 0
SAN
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 0
SAN
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
BAL
3 - 1
SAN
58%
24%
18%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 1
CRD
70%
19%
12%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |