Carregado vs AD Portomosense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.4%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.9%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.4%
4.2%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carregado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
FAT
4 - 0
CAR
69%
19%
12%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
MAF
2 - 1
CAR
74%
17%
9%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 1
ALC
54%
21%
25%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 1
TOR
32%
24%
44%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
CAR
3 - 0
LOU
48%
22%
30%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
AD Portomosense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
ADP
0 - 1
MAF
12%
22%
66%
|
15 | 54 | 39 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
ALC
1 - 0
ADP
82%
13%
6%
|
15 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
ADP
0 - 3
TOR
10%
17%
73%
|
16 | 46 | 30 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
LOU
4 - 0
ADP
82%
12%
6%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
ADP
0 - 1
CAL
14%
20%
66%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | -1 |