Carrarese vs Piacenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
20.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
CAR
2 - 1
PON
66%
19%
15%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
PRO
0 - 1
CAR
20%
22%
58%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
VNZ
2 - 0
CAR
69%
19%
12%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
CAR
0 - 0
PRO
63%
21%
17%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
CAR
4 - 0
GSD
82%
12%
6%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
PIA
2 - 0
LIV
41%
26%
34%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
PON
1 - 0
PIA
35%
25%
40%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
PIA
0 - 2
GRO
72%
18%
10%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
PIA
1 - 2
TER
57%
24%
19%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2020 |
CTT
3 - 1
PIA
80%
13%
7%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |