Carrarese vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
43.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
LEO
3 - 1
CAR
49%
26%
25%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 1
PRO
69%
19%
11%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2018 |
ASL
2 - 2
CAR
31%
27%
42%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2018 |
CAR
4 - 0
JS2
59%
22%
19%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
ARZ
1 - 5
CAR
27%
25%
49%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
PIA
0 - 3
NOV
29%
28%
43%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
NOV
1 - 1
JS2
69%
20%
11%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
BRE
2 - 2
NOV
42%
25%
34%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -2 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
PRG
1 - 3
NOV
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +2 |
| 20 Jul. 2018 |
ACM
2 - 0
NOV
77%
17%
6%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | 0 |