Carranza vs El Pardo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
59.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+375%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carranza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
ESE
0 - 2
CAR
63%
20%
18%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 3
CHA
18%
19%
63%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
RAY
1 - 1
CAR
60%
19%
21%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 4
IMA
23%
24%
54%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
RSR
2 - 1
CAR
40%
25%
36%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
El Pardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
EPA
4 - 1
LCB
77%
13%
9%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
FUN
0 - 0
EPA
54%
20%
26%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
EPA
4 - 1
PAS
23%
21%
55%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
VMS
1 - 4
EPA
70%
17%
13%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
EPA
2 - 2
ACA
63%
20%
17%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |