Carranque vs CD Toledo B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
41%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carranque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
VIL
5 - 0
CAR
51%
24%
26%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 2
ALM
17%
26%
57%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
ATL
3 - 0
CAR
63%
22%
16%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 1
LGI
24%
26%
51%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
UDT
3 - 1
CAR
72%
17%
11%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
CD Toledo B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
TOL
3 - 2
TOR
20%
21%
58%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
TOL
4 - 0
VIL
34%
23%
43%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
DIN
0 - 1
TOL
43%
24%
33%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
TOL
2 - 2
CAS
27%
24%
49%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
CON
2 - 2
TOL
75%
16%
9%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |