Carral B vs X Aranga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.3%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19%
59.5%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-76%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carral B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
VIS
4 - 4
CAR
66%
17%
16%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 3
LAR
50%
21%
29%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
CUR
3 - 3
CAR
72%
15%
13%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
CAR
5 - 1
SDV
71%
16%
13%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
VOR
1 - 3
CAR
31%
21%
49%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
X Aranga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
ARA
4 - 2
PCA
90%
7%
3%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
SXU
0 - 6
ARA
10%
15%
75%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ARA
3 - 0
EST
92%
6%
2%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
RDS
2 - 3
ARA
11%
15%
75%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ARA
3 - 1
MAR
93%
6%
2%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |