Carquefou vs Trégunc analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.2%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.7%
7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carquefou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
USF
1 - 1
CAR
12%
21%
67%
|
59 | 19 | 40 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2014 |
GAZ
4 - 1
CAR
48%
29%
23%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 2
AMI
43%
27%
30%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2014 |
LUZ
2 - 2
CAR
56%
26%
18%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 1
USB
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Trégunc
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
SPM
4 - 1
UST
85%
11%
5%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
UST
0 - 5
STA
25%
23%
52%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
UST
1 - 7
SBR
13%
17%
70%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
PON
3 - 0
UST
80%
13%
7%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
UST
0 - 3
USF
39%
23%
38%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |