Carquefou vs Épinal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carquefou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2013 |
UZE
0 - 2
CAR
34%
29%
37%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
CAR
4 - 0
LUS
29%
27%
44%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
QUE
1 - 0
CAR
41%
26%
33%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 0
FCR
41%
26%
33%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 2
LUZ
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
SPI
2 - 2
AMI
39%
27%
34%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
SPI
1 - 1
USB
42%
27%
31%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
FRE
2 - 2
SPI
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
LPS
2 - 0
SPI
51%
25%
23%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2013 |
SPI
0 - 0
ORL
44%
28%
29%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |