Caronnese vs Castellanzese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
46.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caronnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
LAV
2 - 0
CAR
38%
25%
37%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 1
GOZ
33%
26%
42%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 1
CAR
58%
21%
21%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 1
ARC
71%
17%
12%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 0
CAR
34%
27%
39%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Castellanzese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
CAS
3 - 2
PDH
51%
22%
27%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
SES
4 - 0
CAS
27%
25%
49%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -2 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
CAS
3 - 2
DER
85%
10%
5%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
ASD
2 - 2
CAS
21%
21%
58%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
CAS
3 - 7
BOR
87%
9%
5%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | -1 |