Carlton Town vs Matlock Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
38.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
WOR
0 - 1
CAR
75%
14%
11%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
CAR
3 - 2
BED
21%
21%
57%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
CHA
0 - 2
CAR
70%
17%
13%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 1
SPA
48%
23%
28%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 2
SHE
16%
19%
66%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Matlock Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
RAD
1 - 0
MAT
59%
21%
21%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
MAT
1 - 2
WAR
15%
21%
64%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
MAT
3 - 1
MIC
40%
24%
36%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2019 |
MAT
1 - 2
SCA
42%
23%
35%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
LAN
1 - 0
MAT
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |