Carolinense vs Granada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
41.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carolinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
FUE
1 - 0
CAR
68%
19%
13%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
CAR
0 - 2
BAZ
29%
27%
44%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
UBE
2 - 0
CAR
37%
28%
36%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -2 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
CAR
1 - 2
SAN
66%
21%
13%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
NIJ
1 - 1
CAR
56%
23%
21%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
GRA
1 - 3
ALM
74%
18%
8%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
TOR
1 - 2
GRA
57%
23%
20%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
GRA
8 - 1
RUS
79%
15%
6%
|
43 | 17 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
MAN
1 - 0
GRA
19%
28%
53%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
MAR
0 - 3
GRA
26%
27%
47%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |