Carolinense vs CD Tuccitana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
62.3%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carolinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
BAI
1 - 1
CAR
69%
18%
13%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 2
CDT
45%
24%
32%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
CDN
4 - 0
CAR
29%
24%
47%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | -2 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 2
CDT
53%
23%
24%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
PUE
2 - 0
CAR
36%
24%
39%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
CD Tuccitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
CDT
4 - 2
JOD
58%
20%
22%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
LAG
2 - 3
CDT
23%
22%
55%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
CDT
3 - 0
BAE
44%
23%
33%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
UBE
6 - 1
CDT
44%
23%
34%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
CDT
0 - 2
MEN
28%
23%
49%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | -1 |