Carolinense vs Atlético Mengibar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
27.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carolinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
ADL
1 - 1
CAR
27%
23%
50%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 0
NAV
52%
22%
26%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
CDH
1 - 3
CAR
58%
21%
21%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
VIL
4 - 2
CAR
55%
23%
22%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
CAR
4 - 0
ATL
41%
23%
36%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Atlético Mengibar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
CDA
0 - 5
VIL
31%
23%
46%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
ATL
4 - 0
CDA
45%
21%
34%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
CDA
4 - 2
BEG
36%
24%
40%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
CDR
0 - 1
CDA
42%
22%
37%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
CDA
2 - 4
CAZ
51%
22%
28%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |