North Carolina vs Portland Timbers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
23.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
CAR
1 - 0
MON
32%
31%
37%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
CAR
0 - 0
ATL
43%
26%
31%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2007 |
CHA
0 - 3
CAR
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
ROC
2 - 0
CAR
51%
25%
25%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2007 |
CAR
1 - 0
RIC
38%
25%
37%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Portland Timbers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
FOR
1 - 2
POR
45%
26%
30%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
PRI
1 - 0
POR
52%
24%
24%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2007 |
POR
1 - 0
CHA
40%
28%
32%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2007 |
MIN
2 - 2
POR
40%
27%
33%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
POR
0 - 0
VAN
32%
29%
40%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |