North Carolina vs Ottawa Fury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
16.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 0
CAR
44%
26%
30%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2014 |
MIN
1 - 0
CAR
39%
27%
34%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 2
IND
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 5
DAL
30%
23%
47%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -2 |
| 25 Jun. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 0
GAL
25%
23%
52%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | +2 |
Matches
Ottawa Fury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
OTT
0 - 1
NYC
30%
29%
42%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
OTT
0 - 1
GLA
16%
19%
65%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2014 |
EDM
0 - 0
OTT
50%
26%
24%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
NYC
1 - 0
OTT
61%
23%
16%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
OTT
1 - 0
EDM
51%
25%
25%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |