North Carolina vs Hartford Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
9.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
CHA
0 - 3
CAR
31%
26%
43%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
AFC
2 - 1
CAR
28%
25%
47%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 1
MEM
67%
19%
14%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 1
CHA
58%
23%
20%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
PHU
0 - 1
CAR
32%
26%
42%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Hartford Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
NYO
4 - 0
HAA
77%
14%
9%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
PIT
3 - 1
HAA
61%
23%
17%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
TAM
4 - 0
HAA
56%
24%
20%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
IND
1 - 0
HAA
64%
20%
16%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
LOU
2 - 1
HAA
72%
18%
10%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | -1 |