Carmelita vs Limón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
28.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmelita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
ADC
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2016 |
ADC
2 - 0
BEL
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
SAP
4 - 0
ADC
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2016 |
CSC
1 - 1
ADC
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
ADC
1 - 4
UNI
35%
28%
38%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Limón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
LFC
0 - 3
SAP
30%
27%
43%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
MUN
2 - 2
LFC
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
LFC
1 - 1
UNI
36%
27%
37%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2016 |
LDA
2 - 0
LFC
66%
21%
14%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
LFC
1 - 0
CSC
34%
28%
39%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |