Carmelita vs San José FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
24.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmelita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
MSR
0 - 1
ADC
42%
26%
32%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
ADC
3 - 2
SAN
55%
23%
22%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
COF
6 - 2
ADC
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
ADC
2 - 1
CAR
63%
21%
17%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
ESC
1 - 2
ADC
40%
28%
33%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
San José FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
COF
2 - 1
ESC
50%
24%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2021 |
ESC
1 - 1
MSR
44%
27%
29%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
ESC
4 - 1
CAR
56%
23%
21%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 3
ESC
45%
26%
30%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
ESC
1 - 2
ADC
40%
28%
33%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |