Carmarthen Town vs Trethomas Bluebirds analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.6%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.1%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.5%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
10%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10%
5.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 0
SUF
52%
22%
26%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 4
GOY
70%
18%
12%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
LLA
2 - 0
CAR
22%
23%
55%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | -2 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 0
TAF
83%
12%
6%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 1
LLA
82%
12%
6%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Trethomas Bluebirds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
CAA
2 - 2
TRE
42%
22%
36%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
TRE
0 - 6
LLA
10%
16%
74%
|
9 | 45 | 36 | -1 |