Carmarthen Town vs Llanelli Town AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
34.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 2
GOY
70%
17%
13%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 3
HAV
15%
20%
65%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 0
YAF
79%
13%
9%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
TAF
1 - 1
CAR
27%
25%
49%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
TRE
0 - 3
CAR
19%
19%
62%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Llanelli Town AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
TRE
0 - 4
LLA
13%
15%
72%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
LLA
2 - 0
SUF
81%
12%
7%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
YAF
2 - 7
LLA
13%
16%
72%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
LLA
0 - 4
PON
78%
14%
8%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | -2 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
ABE
1 - 0
LLA
17%
21%
63%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |