Carmarthen Town vs Afan Lido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
7.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
CAR
3 - 0
POR
88%
9%
4%
|
47 | 12 | 35 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
TRE
0 - 2
CAR
27%
24%
49%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 1
TRE
69%
18%
13%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
POR
0 - 3
CAR
8%
15%
77%
|
46 | 14 | 32 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
LID
0 - 4
CAR
15%
21%
64%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Afan Lido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2021 |
LID
1 - 3
TRE
35%
21%
44%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2021 |
PON
8 - 1
LID
75%
16%
10%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
LID
3 - 2
PON
13%
19%
68%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | +4 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
TRE
1 - 2
LID
77%
13%
10%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | +2 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
LID
0 - 4
CAR
15%
21%
64%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | -2 |