CA Mannucci vs Willy Serrato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
31.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Mannucci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
SBO
4 - 3
MAN
40%
29%
31%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
MAN
3 - 1
PAC
53%
26%
21%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
LOS
0 - 0
MAN
49%
27%
24%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
ALF
1 - 0
MAN
38%
28%
34%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
MAN
1 - 0
GAL
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Willy Serrato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
WIL
1 - 1
MUN
52%
26%
22%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
SPO
5 - 1
WIL
22%
28%
51%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
WIL
2 - 1
UNI
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
WIL
0 - 0
AUN
42%
27%
32%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
LOS
0 - 0
WIL
31%
28%
41%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |