Carlisle United vs Plymouth Argyle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
30.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1999 |
MAN
1 - 1
CUM
52%
25%
23%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1999 |
GRI
6 - 0
CUM
62%
22%
16%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
CUM
0 - 3
HAR
52%
26%
22%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 1999 |
SWA
1 - 0
CUM
55%
25%
20%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1999 |
CUM
0 - 0
GRI
42%
27%
31%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1999 |
PLY
2 - 1
POS
44%
27%
29%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1999 |
PLY
1 - 4
WAL
44%
26%
30%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
HAL
0 - 1
PLY
50%
25%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1999 |
PLY
0 - 0
STF
52%
25%
22%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1999 |
WAL
4 - 1
PLY
66%
19%
14%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |