League Two Round 42

Carlisle United vs Hull City analysis

Carlisle United Hull City
49 ELO 51
-10.6% Tilt -2.6%
4315º General ELO ranking 1160º
124º Country ELO ranking 40º
ELO win probability
44.3%
Carlisle United
27.5%
Draw
28.2%
Hull City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
Carlisle United
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
28.2%
Win probability
Hull City
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Carlisle United
+42%
-4%
Hull City

ELO progression

Carlisle United
Hull City
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Carlisle United
Carlisle United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Apr. 1999
CUM
Carlisle United
1 - 1
Hereford United
HER
40%
28%
32%
48 52 4 0
05 Apr. 1999
SCA
Scarborough
3 - 0
Carlisle United
CUM
53%
24%
23%
50 49 1 -2
03 Apr. 1999
CUM
Carlisle United
3 - 0
Torquay United
GUL
41%
28%
31%
48 52 4 +2
27 Mar. 1999
CAR
Cardiff City
2 - 1
Carlisle United
CUM
63%
22%
15%
49 56 7 -1
23 Mar. 1999
DAR
Darlington FC
1 - 1
Carlisle United
CUM
60%
22%
17%
48 52 4 +1

Matches

Hull City
Hull City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Apr. 1999
HUL
Hull City
2 - 1
Exeter City
EXE
53%
26%
22%
50 50 0 0
05 Apr. 1999
CAR
Cardiff City
1 - 1
Hull City
HUL
61%
23%
16%
50 57 7 0
03 Apr. 1999
HUL
Hull City
1 - 1
Scarborough
SCA
53%
25%
23%
50 49 1 0
26 Mar. 1999
SOU
Southend United
0 - 1
Hull City
HUL
48%
27%
26%
49 49 0 +1
20 Mar. 1999
HUL
Hull City
1 - 0
Plymouth Argyle
PLY
42%
27%
31%
48 54 6 +1