Carlisle United vs Hartlepool United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
27.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
COL
5 - 0
CUM
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2008 |
HER
1 - 0
CUM
35%
29%
36%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
CUM
3 - 3
POS
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
MKD
3 - 1
CUM
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2008 |
ROC
2 - 2
CUM
46%
25%
29%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Hartlepool United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
HAR
1 - 0
BHA
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2008 |
HAR
5 - 3
HUR
50%
24%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
WAL
2 - 3
HAR
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2008 |
NOR
1 - 0
HAR
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2008 |
HAR
3 - 3
SWI
56%
24%
21%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |