Carlisle United vs Forest Green Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
17.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2005 |
HER
0 - 0
CUM
49%
26%
26%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
FAR
1 - 2
CUM
21%
25%
55%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2005 |
CUM
1 - 0
HAL
50%
26%
24%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2005 |
CAN
0 - 3
CUM
29%
26%
45%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
CUM
1 - 0
NOR
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Forest Green Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2005 |
NOR
2 - 1
FOR
54%
23%
23%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
FOR
1 - 1
TAM
41%
24%
35%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2005 |
EBB
0 - 0
FOR
66%
20%
15%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2005 |
FOR
0 - 2
BAR
26%
25%
49%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
DAG
2 - 2
FOR
66%
20%
15%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |