Carlisle United vs Crewe Alexandra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
20.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
GRA
0 - 2
CUM
30%
25%
45%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2008 |
MIL
1 - 0
CUM
49%
27%
25%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
CUM
1 - 0
CHE
62%
22%
17%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
CUM
3 - 1
BHA
44%
27%
29%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
CUM
1 - 1
GRA
65%
20%
16%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2008 |
LEI
2 - 1
CRE
66%
22%
12%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
CRE
0 - 3
STO
33%
26%
41%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
CRE
0 - 2
LEY
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
CRE
1 - 0
EBB
59%
21%
21%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
HUR
3 - 2
CRE
59%
22%
18%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |