Carlisle City vs Heaton Stannington analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
42.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2024 |
CCF
5 - 3
CEL
44%
21%
35%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2024 |
WHI
1 - 0
CCF
44%
22%
35%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -2 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
CCF
3 - 2
PEN
63%
19%
19%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
CEL
0 - 2
CCF
53%
20%
26%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
BIS
5 - 2
CCF
76%
15%
9%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Heaton Stannington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2024 |
NOR
0 - 4
HEA
37%
23%
40%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2024 |
SEA
1 - 2
HEA
21%
21%
58%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
HEA
3 - 2
PEN
72%
15%
13%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 0
HEA
22%
20%
58%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | -3 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
CEL
0 - 1
HEA
45%
24%
31%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |