Carlisle City vs Heaton Stannington analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
42.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
NEW
2 - 1
CCF
76%
14%
9%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CCF
2 - 4
TOW
60%
19%
21%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
WHI
1 - 1
CCF
72%
16%
12%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CCF
2 - 4
NEW
34%
22%
45%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 0
CCF
18%
19%
62%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Heaton Stannington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
HEA
1 - 2
WHI
36%
22%
42%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ASH
0 - 1
HEA
79%
13%
8%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | +2 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
TOW
1 - 2
HEA
34%
22%
44%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
HEA
4 - 1
CEL
33%
22%
45%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
NOR
0 - 5
HEA
50%
22%
29%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |