Carlisle City vs Heaton Stannington analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
38.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
NEW
2 - 1
CCF
76%
15%
10%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CCF
2 - 4
TOW
61%
19%
20%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
WHI
1 - 1
CCF
72%
16%
12%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CCF
2 - 4
NEW
33%
22%
45%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 0
CCF
18%
19%
62%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Heaton Stannington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
HEA
1 - 2
WHI
35%
22%
44%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ASH
0 - 1
HEA
79%
13%
8%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
TOW
1 - 2
HEA
35%
22%
43%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
HEA
4 - 1
CEL
32%
22%
47%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
NOR
0 - 5
HEA
50%
22%
29%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |