Carlet vs Alberic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
60.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
BEN
5 - 2
CAR
70%
18%
12%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2009 |
CAR
3 - 3
MUR
24%
25%
51%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
CDT
3 - 0
CAR
64%
20%
16%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 3
RAC
21%
23%
56%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
BEN
2 - 2
CAR
56%
21%
23%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Alberic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
ALB
2 - 0
ALG
66%
20%
14%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
PEG
1 - 4
ALB
20%
24%
56%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
ALB
4 - 2
LLO
65%
20%
14%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
ALB
1 - 0
ENG
74%
17%
9%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
BEN
0 - 1
ALB
42%
26%
33%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |