Cariri vs Ferroviário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.2%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.2%
79.9%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22%
0-3
11.3%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.3%
0-4
7.6%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
10.7%
0-5
4.1%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.5%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cariri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2025 |
CFS
1 - 5
IGU
12%
19%
69%
|
28 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
GPM
4 - 0
CFS
56%
21%
23%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -2 |
| 28 Jan. 2025 |
FOR
7 - 0
CFS
94%
5%
1%
|
30 | 88 | 58 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
BAR
3 - 1
CFS
57%
21%
22%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
GPM
3 - 0
CFS
52%
22%
27%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2025 |
MOT
1 - 1
FER
14%
20%
66%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
FER
1 - 0
MAR
77%
15%
8%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
FLO
3 - 3
FER
31%
24%
44%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
FER
1 - 2
CEA
12%
22%
65%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
FER
1 - 2
SPO
15%
25%
61%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |