La Caridad vs La Fresneda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
42.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+89%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Caridad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
BOA
3 - 0
CAR
32%
25%
43%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 0
CAM
73%
17%
10%
|
11 | 5 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
NAR
2 - 1
CAR
29%
26%
46%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
CAR
3 - 1
ATL
76%
14%
10%
|
11 | 5 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
BER
0 - 2
CAR
45%
22%
33%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
La Fresneda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
FRE
0 - 1
VCD
25%
21%
54%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
AST
1 - 2
FRE
24%
21%
55%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
FRE
3 - 3
GUI
42%
22%
36%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
PUM
2 - 2
FRE
74%
15%
11%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
FRE
0 - 1
SCB
69%
17%
14%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -1 |