Cariari Pococí vs Santa Ana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
42.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
6º
14º
13º
29
4º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 37 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
48% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
48% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 32 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
20.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 17 |
12º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
11 | 14 |
13º
|
52% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
52% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 11 |
15º
|
71.5% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 9 |
16º
|
71.5% | |
|
17º
|
5 | 5 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 0 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cariari Pococí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 2
GUA
44%
24%
32%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
EBC
3 - 1
CAR
51%
22%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 0
TUR
82%
12%
6%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
CSU
2 - 1
CAR
19%
22%
59%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 1
CAR
53%
23%
24%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Santa Ana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 1
CSU
68%
19%
13%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 1
ASE
70%
19%
11%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 2
SAN
39%
26%
35%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 2
LBS
72%
18%
10%
|
57 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 1
CAR
53%
23%
24%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |