Cardiff MU vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
33.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
4º
6º
6º
44
4º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
92 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 14 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 12 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
44 | 11 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 10 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 5 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 5
TNS
37%
25%
38%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 3
CON
43%
26%
30%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 6
TNS
42%
23%
35%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CAE
1 - 2
CAR
49%
25%
27%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 1
BAL
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
NEW
5 - 0
CAE
47%
24%
29%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
BAL
1 - 1
NEW
45%
26%
30%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
CON
0 - 0
NEW
49%
24%
26%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
NEW
0 - 1
TNS
39%
25%
37%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
NEW
2 - 0
CAR
43%
26%
31%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |