Cardiff MU vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
31.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
1º
6º
4º
44
2º
12º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 1 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 1
NEW
39%
24%
37%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
MER
1 - 2
CAR
7%
18%
75%
|
66 | 21 | 45 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
CAE
1 - 0
CAR
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
HAV
1 - 2
CAR
29%
29%
42%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
CAR
5 - 0
CEF
75%
17%
9%
|
65 | 38 | 27 | +1 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
CON
1 - 1
TNS
39%
25%
37%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
CON
3 - 3
NAN
84%
12%
4%
|
68 | 40 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
CON
0 - 1
WIN
86%
11%
3%
|
68 | 37 | 31 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
ABE
1 - 1
CON
30%
27%
43%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
CON
3 - 0
HAV
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |